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Sugar Futures-Sugar Options Weekly Blog

 

 

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8/20/10 Sugar futures prices broke through the recent highs this week in spite of the expectations of a huge global crop from Brazil and India. India's crop is expected to be at least 23 million tons which will leave plenty of supply available for exports.

8/13/10 Sugar futures prices rallied this week from a 3 week low as excessive rains in Brazil is causing shipping delays for sugar and other commodities. The delays are expected to persist over the near term. Sugar has rallied roughly a cent this week.

8/6/10 Sugar futures prices are coming down as higher output from Brazil and India ( the number one and number two producers) should be ample considering the current demand for sugar. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/2/10 Sugar futures prices are still trending higher in spite of an expectation for a 5 million ton surplus this season. India's harvest is projected at 26 million tons and consumption at 23 million tons for the coming harvest.

7/24/10 Sugar futures prices rallied nearly a cent this week as the US Dollar continues to weaken and other soft market commodities have been running higher recently. High unleaded gas prices may also be keeping prices up for the near term.

7/10/10 Sugar futures prices traded higher this week as dry weather in Brazil might hurt the yields of their sugar cane crop next harvest. The recent USDA supply and demand report showed US ending stocks up from 764,00 to 952,000 tons.

7/2/10 Sugar futures prices are trading within a 1.5 cent range recently as bearish crop pictures and a slower global economy battle with demand for ethanol out of Brazil. The recent sell off in the US Dollar may help support prices.

6/25/10 Sugar futures prices rallied this week in spite of the recent estimate of the USDA saying worldwide production will be up 8% in 2010-2011. Sugar prices hit a 2 month high.

6/11/10 Sugar futures prices rallied this week after losing 50% of its value over the last couple of months. The recent USDA report showed US ending stocks come down from 844,000 to 764,000 short tons. The world outlook is for an increase in supplies as many producers tried to take advantage of the 30 year highs in prices by planting more.

6/4/10 Sugar futures prices rallied this week in spite of the overall weakness in the commodity sector and the estimation the there would be a world production surplus for the first time since the 2007-2008 season for sugar supplies.

5/28/10 Sugar futures prices sold off this week as the USDA estimated that world production would go up from 157.2 to 163.8 million tons in 2010-11.

5/21/10 Sugar futures prices came down with the rest of the commodity markets this week as the European problems stemming from Greece and the other PIIGS are expected to hurt demand for many commodities. Investors seem to be choosing cash over stocks and commodities for now. There are rumors of Pakistan and China buying sugar.

5/14/10 Sugar futures prices are still coming down this week. The recent USDA report showed US ending stocks at 894,000 tons down from 1.23 million tons.

5/7/10 Sugar futures prices sold off again this week to a 14 month low as the Greece problems pressured many markets as investors attempt to decrease their risk appetites by pushing assets into gold, US Dollars and US Treasuries as a safe haven.

4/25/10 Sugar futures prices are still selling off from the recent 30 year highs to the lowest close in the last 11 months. The recent strength in the US Dollar is also helping keep prices down.

4/16/10 Sugar futures prices bounced after selling off for the last 10 weeks. The US Dollar is begining to weaken and high unleaded gas prices may push sugar producers to turn to ethanol instead of using it as a food.

4/9/10 Sugar prices are still collapsing from the recent 30 year highs. Sugar hit a new 10 month low this week in spite of the idea that many economies around the globe are improving which should in turn increase demand for physical commodities.

3/27/10 Sugar prices came crashing down again this week as the global deficit is looking more like it will be offset by some huge sugar cane crops from Brazil. Sugar prices hit a 10 month low this week.

2/26/10 Sugar futures prices fell this week from the 30 year highs to a 9 week low as the idea that prices got a little ahead of themselves based on the global tight supplies. Many buyers were unwilling to pay the recent high prices for raw sugar. The recent strength in the US Dollar is also pressuring many commodity markets. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/12/10 Sugar future prices rallied this week as the idea that Europe will help Greece with its financial problems weakened the US Dollar and caused most commodity markets to rally. Agrimoney.com increased its estimate of the 2009-10 world sugar deficit form 8.3 to 11.9 million tons.

2/5/10 Sugar futures prices came down this week along with many of the other commodity prices as the recent strength in the US Dollar is expected to diminish demand for commodities. India's government said that its sugar mills had to sell some of their sugar supplies every week. Mills had been hoarding sugar in the hopes of getting higher prices.

1/30/10 Sugar futures prices continue to rally in spite of most of the rest of the commodity markets selling off. The European Union is considering increasing exports of sugar to take advantage of high prices and to help with the global tight supplies situation. Sugar prices hit contract highs this week.

1/22/10 Sugar futures prices rallied this week to contract highs, unlike most of the other commodity markets in spite of the rise in the US Dollar and the idea that China is trying to hold back its economy by raising rates and increasing the amount of capital reserves its banks must keep will slow demand for many commodities.

1/15/10 Sugar futures prices seemed to be stabilizing as the Indian government is allowing sugar sales again and the recent rise in the US Dollar is pressuring prices.

1/8/10 Sugar futures prices rallied to another contract high this week in spite of the recent strength in the US Dollar as tight supplies still look to be an issue for the near future.

1/1/10 Sugar future prices rallied to 28 year highs as the Indian government extended its ban on trading sugar futures on its exchange until September of 2010 because of the extremely tight global supply situation. Sugar options premiums are high.

12/11/09 Sugar futures prices rallied this week as the global supply situation is still very tight. The rally occurred in spite of energy market price declines and the recent strength in the US Dollar.

12/4/09 Sugar futures prices fell this week as the upbeat US Jobs report pushed the US Dollar dramatically higher.

11/28/09 Sugar futures prices are still trading sideways to down this week as the idea that the global supply deficit may already be factored into prices is battling the idea that higher energy costs will push Brazil into using its sugar production for ethanol at the expense of sugar for human consumption. Sugar option premiums are high.

11/20/09 Sugar futures prices are still coming down this week in spite of the US Dollar hitting another contract low. Indian farmers are withholding sugar from the mills because of expectations of higher sugar prices. The USDA estimated the 2009-10 world sugar production to be at 153.5 million tons, up 6% from a year ago.

11/13/09 Sugar futures prices sold off this week from the highs to the recent support levels as the USDA report estimated that US ending stocks grew from 876,000 tons to 1,016,000 tons.

11/6/09 Sugar futures prices sold off this week in spite of the global tight sugar supplies and rising prices in India's sugar because of the scarcity. Sugar option premiums are high.

10/24/09 Sugar futures prices sold off from the 28 year highs as the Indian government estimates that its sugar production will increase from 16 million tons to 17.5 million tons. This is up from the earlier estimate of 15 million tons.

10/12/09 Sugar futures prices sold off from the 28 year highs as profit taking takes over since the massive run to 1981 price highs. Sugar prices have seen massive fund and speculative buying and selling over the recent few weeks.

9/25/09 Sugar futures prices fell as the US Dollar strengthened and the commodity markets in general are selling off. The global supplies are still tight and conditions are not expected to improve any time soon.

9/18/09 Sugar futures prices are still near the highs as the lack of supplies is battling to keep up with the global demand. Also helping prices are the weakening US Dollar and the idea that the global economy is improving.

9/11/09 Sugar futures prices are selling off from the highs. India's government recently told sugar mills that there is a limit to the amount of sugar that they can store. Sugar stockpiles cannot be larger than a 15 day supply in an attempt to make sugar available to the public. Sugar option premiums are high.

9/4/09 Sugar futures prices sold of from the recent 28 year highs in spite of the recent overabundance of rain in Brazil and the lack of abundance of rain in India and the recent prediction by the International Sugar Organization increasing the amount of the deficit from 4.75 to 8.40 million tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/21/09 Sugar future prices are trading sideways near the recent highs at around 22 cents per pound. The lack of new bullish or bearish news has the market consolidating sideways for now. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/7/09 Sugar futures prices are at the contract highs as the expectation for India to increase imports due to a lack of rain and potential Brazilian crop problems. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/31/09 Sugar futures prices are near the highs as rain issues in India and Brazil may curb production and end up causing a world production deficit. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/20/09 Sugar futures prices are still up this week in spite of lower gasoline prices and the recent rains in India are likely to help the sugar cane crop. The weakening US Dollar is also helping sugar prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/10/09 Sugar futures prices sold off this week as the slow world economy and lower ethanol production may hurt demand. The recent USDA report showed US ending stocks down from 459,000 to 359,000 tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/4/09 Sugar futures prices may have made a top as the new contract highs were followed by a sell off. The markets are expecting a global deficit in sugar supplies. Sugar option premiums are high.

6/21/09 Sugar futures prices sold off this week along with the rest of the soft markets as the US Dollar rebounds from the lows and crude oil and unleaded gas sell off. Sugar option premiums are high.

6/5/09 Sugar futures prices are down again from the recent highs and profit taking is blamed. Global supplies are still relatively tight. Sugar option premiums are high.

5/30/09 Sugar futures prices recently sold off from the highs as overbought markets often due. The Indian government recently suspending the trading of sugar futures contracts for the rest of 2009 in an attempt to protect domestic supplies. High crude oil prices are also helping prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

5/22/09 Sugar futures prices are near the highs as a world production deficit in 2008-9 crops and higher ethanol demand are expected to use up supplies. The USDA is expecting the lowest stocks to usage ration in 16 years. Sugar option premiums are high.

5/15/09 Sugar futures prices are coming down from the recent highs in spite of the USDA report showing US ending stocks down form1.192 to 289,000 tons and the governments restrictions on imports. Sugar option premiums are high.

5/8/09 Sugar futures prices are still running higher to the highest close in 8 months. Helping prices is the estimate that Brazil will produce more ethanol this year. Sugar option premiums are high.

4/30/09 Sugar futures prices are rallying based on the idea that Brazil's sugar crop is going to be smaller than expected. Sugar option premiums are high.

4/23/09 Sugar futures prices are trading in a one cent range between 1250 and 1350. This is occurring as bullish information such as India being a net importer clash with bearish information such as falling energy prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

4/10/09 Sugar futures prices are moving sideways as lower energy prices battle with expectations that Indian sugar output may fall 11 million tons. The USDA estimates that US ending stocks up from 981,000 to 1.29 million tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

3/27/09 Sugar futures prices are trading in a sideways pattern as a slow world economy is making the demand picture for sugar hard to predict.

3/20/09 Sugar futures prices rallied 1.50 cents this weeks as inflation may soon replace the deflationary cycle that we are currently in, which is the worst since the Great Depression. The recent move by the fed to print a trillion dollars and use them to buy treasuries has significantly decreased the value of the US Dollar. Sugar option premiums are high.

3/13/09 Sugar futures prices are trading sideways in spite of the recent USDA supply and demand report showing a drawdown in world ending stocks of 85,000 short tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

3/7/09 Sugar futures prices sold off this week as the poor economy and the massive sell off in the stock market is pressuring prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/27/09 Sugar futures prices are rallying this week to 5 month highs. The International Sugar Organization forecast for a 4.3 million ton deficit in the 2008-9 crop year helped prices rally. India, the world's largest consumer of sugar, is expected to become a net importer of sugar this year. Also helping prices is the rally in unleaded gas prices which stimulates cane ethanol production in Brazil. Another bullish factor is Pepsi's announcement that it will stop using high fructose corn syrup in its drinks. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/13/09 Sugar futures prices are still heading higher as the USDA report showed US ending stocks of sugar down form 1.072 to 1.066 million tons. Sugar looks to be the leader in the soft market right now. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/6/09 Sugar futures prices are rallying as the softs sector of the commodity market is gaining strength. Sugar production in India was down 20% from October to January. A world production deficit is expected in 2008-9. Sugar option premiums are high.

1/30/09 Sugar futures prices are still holding recent gains as the uptrend in sugar is still holding. Sugar futures prices have been rallying in spite of weakness in the unleaded gas markets. Sugar option premiums are still high.

1/16/09 Sugar futures prices were steady this week. The USDA estimates that US ending stocks were up from 961,000 to 1,072 tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

1/10/09 Sugar futures prices rallied based on the expectation that India and Thailand will have smaller sugar crops this year and strong gasoline prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

12/27/08 Sugar futures prices are holding steady in spite of lower gasoline prices and demand destruction around the world. Sugar option premiums are high.

12/19/08 Sugar futures prices have been strong recently as the US Dollar has been giving back 60% of its recent rise. Sugar option premiums are high.

12/12/08 Sugar futures prices rallied along with the rest of the commodity markets as the US Dollar fell sharply from its highs. The USDA estimates that world ending stocks increased from 907,000 to 961,000 tons. Sugar option premiums are high.

12/05/08 Sugar futures prices fell with the rest of the commodity markets as the global economy worsens and the US Dollar runs higher. Sugar option premiums are high.

11/30/08 Sugar futures prices are trading sideways as unleaded gas prices seem to be stabilizing. Sugar option premiums are high.

11/21/08 Sugar futures prices are still coming down with unleaded gas. Sugar option premiums are high.

11/7/08 Sugar futures prices are still range bound and rallies are met with harsh resistance. Sugar rallied to a one month high but sold back down as the US Dollar strengthened and gas prices came down. Sugar option premiums are above average.

11/1/08 Sugar futures prices are holding their lower levels as unleaded gas and corn prices are still low. FO Licht estimates the sugar consumption is up 1.8% in 2008-09 and will outpace production by 472,300 tons next year. Sugar option premiums are high.

10/24/08 Sugar futures prices are coming down with the rest of the commodity markets as the massive deleveraging of the stock and commodity markets. The sell off in unleaded gas is expected to hurt ethanol demand especially when combined with the expectation of a global recession. The repatriation of US Dollars back into the US is helping the US Dollar rally to 3 year highs. Sugar option premiums are high.

10/10/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off again pressured by the USDA US ending stock report showing stocks up from 505,000 tons to 650,000 tons. The decrease in unleaded gas prices and the stronger US Dollar is also pressuring prices.

10/6/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off with the rest of the softs. Sugar prices are below 12 cents and the fear of a global recession, flight to liquidity and the strong US Dollar are hurting prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

9/26/08 Sugar futures prices are range bound this week in spite of the Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association estimate that sugarcane production is down 4% from a year ago and 59% of that is being used to produce ethanol. Sugar option premiums are high.

9/19/08 Sugar futures prices sold off with the rest of the softs this week as a rush to liquidity hit the commodity markets. Sugar option premiums are high.

9/12/08 Sugar futures prices sold off again this week following crude oil down. The USDA estimates that global supply will fall behind consumption by 3.5 million tons in 2008-09. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/29/08 Sugar futures prices are trying to rally this week based on the potential damage that may occur in Cuba if Hurricane Gustav hits the sugar plantations with high winds. Also helping prices is the run in gasoline prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/22/08 Sugar futures prices rallied this week based on the correction in the US Dollar and the huge run in the price of unleaded gas and crude oil futures. Sugar option premiums are high.

8/15/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off based on the USDA report showing a build in ending stocks from 607,000 to 767,000 short tons. The sugar market is having problems rallying because of the extreme weakness in energy/gasoline prices. Sugar option premium are high.

8/8/08 Sugar futures prices have rallied 4 cents since June based on India's sugar production dropping by 6% from last year and estimates that it may fall by 25% because farmers are planting more profitable crops. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/25/08 Sugar futures prices sold off again following unleaded gas futures prices precipitous drop. The strength in the US Dollar also helped the decline. Sugar option premiums are above average.

7/18/08 Sugar futures prices sold off in the wake of the broad based commodity sell off led by crude oil. Sugar futures prices fell by over 150 ticks this week. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/11/08 Sugar futures prices are still rallying this week based on the USDA estimates of the world ending stocks falling from 1,273,000 to 607,000 tons because of the strong demand for ethanol. Sugar option premiums are high.

7/4/08 Sugar futures prices rallied again this week led by the high prices for corn and unleaded gas and the overall strength in the commodity markets. The Brazilian use of sugar for ethanol at the expense of food is pushing prices. Sugar option premiums are high again.

6/27/08 Sugar futures prices rallied this week above 13 cents based on fund buying and the weakening US Dollar. Sugar option premiums are average.

6/20/08 Sugar futures prices are rallying again this week based on massive fund buying and record unleaded gas and corn prices. Sugar option premiums are average.

6/13/08 Sugar futures prices rallied almost a penny this week as The USDA supply and demand report reduced its estimate of US ending stocks from 1.336 to 1.273 million tons. Sugar option premiums are average.

6/6/08 Sugar futures prices rallied this week based on the strength in the energy markets, the falling US Dollar and the central-south Brazil sugar cane crush being down 9% because of wet conditions. Sugar option premiums are average.

5/30/08 Sugar future prices are still selling off but may be near a major bottom as commercial interest are mounting. Sugar option premiums are average.

5/23/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off again to a yearly low. There is no bullish news in the sugar market and the trend is your friend until some comes around. Sugar option premiums are average.

5/15/08 Sugar futures prices are trading sideways. The International Sugar Organization estimates that the world produced a 8 million ton surplus in 2007-08 which is down from 9.3 million tons. Expectations for 2008-09 is for a small deficit. Sugar option premiums are average.

5/9/08 Sugar futures prices rallied this week based on record high gasoline prices and a weakening US Dollar. The USDA supply and demand report showed US ending stocks at 1.336 million tons down from 1.757 million tons in 2007-08. Sugar option premiums are about average.

5/1/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off again this week based on a lack of news being considered bearish and Brazil's expectation of a larger crop than originally expected. Sugar option premiums are average.

4/25/08 Sugar futures prices are selling off this week based on a lack of any bullish news and the decline in unleaded gas prices from its high. There is a relationship between gas prices and unleaded gas because the sugar in Brazil is used to make ethanol. Sugar option premiums are above average.

4/18/08 Sugar futures prices have been rallying this week based on fund buying and the new record high for unleaded gas. Brazil is predicting that 58% of its sugar crop will be turned into ethanol. Sugar option premiums are above average.

4/11/08 Sugar futures prices have been rallying this week following unleaded gas prices and an overall strength that is returning to the commodity markets. The massive sell off during St. Patrick's Day through March 21st was based on panic and a need for liquidity and not supply and demand. The USDA reduced ending stocks of sugar from 1.978 million tons to 195. Sugar options premiums are becoming fair again.

4/4/08 Sugar futures prices have been a yawn recently as prices are drifting sideways. Sugar did rise slightly this week in the wake of the strong unleaded gas price move. This relationship based on ethanol had been more correlated until recently. Sugar option premiums are average now based on the lack of volatility in sugar futures prices.

3/28/08 Sugar futures prices have been languishing this week without any new fundamental news to attract buyers. High unleaded gas prices have been supportive and sugar option premiums are above average.

3/21/08 Sugar futures prices kept falling this week as Wall Street hedge funds and commodity funds liquidated futures positions to cover margin calls in stocks and to pay back borrowed money. The Bear Stearns issue took the confidence from investors. The Fed's 75 basis point cut surprised investors because a full 100 basis point cut was expected. Sugar option premiums are high.

3/14/08 Sugar futures prices bounced back after the correction. The new lows for the US Dollar and Brazilian ethanol production have affected prices. The US ending stocks went from 2.029 million tons to 1.978 according to the USDA's estimates. Sugar future prices are still way off from the all time highs around 66 cents. Sugar option premiums are high.

3/7/08 Sugar futures prices sold off 2 cents this week leading the massive fund liquidation in the softs sector. China is expecting sugar deficit because of poor growing conditions this year. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/29/08 Sugar futures prices rallied to contract highs this week based on inflationary fears and all time high unleaded gas prices. The potential 50 basis point interest rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting pressures the dollar which also helped buoy prices. Sugar option premiums are high.

2/22/08 Sugar futures prices followed crude oil and unleaded gas up this week to new contract highs. Some private firm estimates say that the global sugar surplus is dwindling rapidly because of ethanol demand and a growing world population. Sugar option premiums are still fair.

2/15/08 Sugar futures prices made a contract high this week in spite of India's recovery rates being higher offsetting some of their reduced harvest output. There was also major fund buying in the May and July sugar futures contracts. The global push to use bio fuels is helping use up the surpluses of sugar around the globe. Crude oil and unleaded gas futures rallied this week lending support to sugar prices. Sugar option premiums are expanding but still relatively fair.

2/8/08 Sugar futures prices broke out to the upside based on higher gasoline prices and an explosion in a sugar refinery in Georgia. Higher consumption by India and China are expected by some analysts to create a deficit in sugar supplies soon. Sugar futures prices are near 13 cents. Sugar option premiums are expanding quickly.

2/1/08 Sugar futures prices are consolidating sideways around 12 cents. Brazil is the world's largest exporter of sugar and they are producing ethanol with the sugar because of its higher profit margin. This means that there is less sugar to export as a food. Many countries are converting sugar cane fields into wheat fields because of the record wheat prices. Sugar option premiums are above average.

-T & K Futures and Options Inc.

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The information presented in this commodity futures and options site is not investment advice and is for informational purposes only. Investments in commodity futures and options involves a high degree of risk, your investment may fall as well as rise, you may lose all your original investment and you may also have to pay more than the original amount invested. Consult your broker or advisor prior to making any investment decisions. Past or simulated performance is not a guide to future performance. Futures Trading is not suitable for everyone. This site provides information on online commodity trading, online future trading, commodity future online trading, commodity options, futures trading commodity brokerage.