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Natural Gas Futures-Natural Gas Options Weekly Blog

 

Click here for your Free Natural Gas Futures/Options e Guide

6/21/09 Natural gas futures are still selling off as the short covering rally fades and underground supplies continue to increase. The most recent DOE estimate is a 30% increase from last year and 22% above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

6/5/09 Natural gas futures prices are still low in spite of the beginning of the hurricane season and the cooling season. The recent DOE report showed natural gas supplies up 31% from a year ago and up 22% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/30/09 Natural gas futures prices are still low as demand is lackluster and supplies are more than enough to handle the cooling season. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/22/09 Natural gas futures prices are still falling as a lack of demand is causing huge supply issues. The recent DOE report showed underground stockpiles up 22% above the 5 year average and up 32% from last year. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/15/09 Natural gas futures are above the $4 level again in spite of the recent DOE report that showed underground supplies up 33% from a year ago levels. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/8/09 Natural gas futures prices are finally showing some life in spite of the recent DOE report that showed underground supplies up 34% above year ago levels and up 23% above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

4/30/09 Natural gas futures prices are still coming down as burdensome supplies are being met by less demand. Natural gas option premiums are high.

4/23/09 Natural gas futures prices are still near the contract lows and the DOE report estimates that natural gas prices will average about $4.24 this year. Natural gas option premiums are high.

4/10/09 Natural gas futures prices sold off to a contract low this week as weak demand and ample supplies are holding prices down. Natural gas option premiums are high.

3/27/09 Natural gas futures prices sold off this week as the DOE report showed underground supplies of natural gas up 29% from a year ago. Natural gas option premiums are high.

3/20/09 Natural gas futures prices rallied 50 cents this week as inflation may replace the worst deflationary cycle since the Great Depression. The recent move by the Fed to print a trillion dollars and use them to buy treasuries significantly decreased the value of the US Dollar this week. Natural gas option premiums are high.

3/13/09 Natural gas futures prices are still selling off as demand is down and supplies are still burdensome. Natural gas option premiums are high.

3/7/09 Natural gas futures prices sold off again this week as the DOE report showed supplies up 15% from a year ago and up 14% above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

2/27/09 Natural gas futures prices sold off to near 6 year lows this week as overabundant supplies and weak demand pressured prices. The DOE estimates that natural gas supplies are up 14% from a year ago and 8.4% above the 5 year average. Natural gas prices are high.

2/13/09 Natural gas futures prices are still holding on to the downtrend as cold weather related use could not prop up prices by using up the burdensome underground supplies. Natural gas option premiums are high.

2/6/09 Natural gas futures prices are still coming down in spite of recent cold weather using up supplies. The underground supplies of natural gas are up 3% from a year ago and above the 5 year average. Natural gas premiums are high.

1/30/09 Natural gas futures prices are still in a steep downtrend as the underground supplies seem to be adequate for any more harsh weather concerns throughout the areas of the US where natural gas is primarily used. Natural gas option premiums are high.

1/16/09 Natural gas futures are at contract lows in spite of the frigid temperatures in many parts of the US. The DOE estimates that underground supplies are up 1% from a year ago and up 3% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

1/10/09 Natural gas futures prices are still near the lows as temperate US weather has been dominating many parts of the US. Natural gas option premiums are high.

12/27/08 Natural gas futures rallied this week in thin market trades and extremely cold weather in natural gas using regions of the US. Natural gas option premiums are high.

12/19/08 Natural gas futures have been falling this week as a lack of industrial demand and the weakening energy complex have pressured prices. Underground supplies are now down 1% from a year ago. Natural gas option premiums are high.

12/12/08 Natural gas futures are near their lows in spite of the rally in the energy markets this week. The DOE expects natural gas prices to average $6.25 in 2009 as underground supplies are plentiful and demand is light. Natural gas option premiums are high.

12/05/08 Natural gas futures hit their lowest price levels in 3 years as demand wanes. Natural gas option premiums are high.

11/30/08 Natural gas futures came down this week as warm temperatures cover most of the US. Natural gas option premiums are high.

11/21/08 Natural gas futures are still coming down. The most recent DOE report showed underground supplies up 16 billion cubic feet and supplies are down 1.4% from a year ago. Natural gas option premiums are high.

11/7/08 Natural gas futures prices are still selling off as cold weather has not yet begun to impact supplies. The DOE reported that underground supplies were up 12 billion cubic feet and the supplies are now down 4% from last year and up 2% of the five year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

11/1/08 Natural gas futures prices are coming down again. The DOE estimated a 46 billion cubic feet increase in underground supplies of natural gas putting current supplies 3% below last year and up 3% from the 5 year average. Natural gas futures prices are now down 50% in the past 4 months. Natural gas option premiums are high.

10/24/08 Natural gas futures prices are still falling with the rest of the energy sector. The massive amounts of deleveraging of the stocks and commodity markets are pressuring prices. Prices have fallen nearly $8 from the highs.  The DOE says that underground supplies of natural gas are now 2% below the 1 year average and 3% above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

10/10/08 Natural gas futures are still coming down with the rest of the energy sector. The DOE reported that underground inventories rose by 88 billion cubic feet and supplies are now down 4% from a year ago and up 2% of the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

10/6/08 Natural gas futures are falling below $7. Natural gas supplies are higher than the 5 year average and the slowing economy makes the supplies plentiful. Natural gas option premiums are high.

9/26/08 Natural gas futures are range bound this week as the DOE report showed an increase in underground supplies of 51 billion cubic feet which puts supplies down 5% from a year ago and up 1% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

9/19/08 Natural gas futures sold off as hurricane Ike only damaged 10 oil and gas platforms and the DOE reported that underground supplies are now 5% below a year ago and up 2% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

9/12/08 Natural gas futures rose as Hurricane Ike slams into Houston, TX. The DOE reported that underground supplies are down 5% from last year and up 3% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

9/5/08 Natural gas futures fell this week as Hurricane Gustav did not cause any damage to the platforms and infrastructure. The DOE reported that supplies are down 5% from a year ago and up 4% over the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

8/29/08 Natural gas futures rallied because of the threat of Hurricane Gustav potentially hitting near Texas and Louisiana. The Independence Hub produces over 800 million cubic feet a day. Tempering prices is the news that new methods of extracting natural gas may be the cause of the extra supplies in the pipelines. The DOE reported that natural gas supplies were up 102 billion feet putting supplies down 7% from a year ago and up 3% from the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

8/22/08 Natural gas future prices are still falling. The recent DOE report about the supplies of underground natural gas showed supplies down 9% from a year ago and 1% above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

8/15/08 Natural gas futures prices are still falling based on slack demand and the overall weakness in the commodity markets. The DOE report showed supplies up 50 billion cubic feet making supplies down 11% from a year ago and slightly below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

8/8/08 Natural gas futures prices have fallen by around $5 in the last couple of months. The DOE says that underground supplies were up 56 billion cubic feet last week and are 12% below last year's levels. Natural gas option premiums are high.

7/25/08 Natural gas futures prices collapsed again this week based on lack of damage caused by hurricane Dolly and in spite of supplies being under last year by 13% and 1% below the five year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

7/18/08 Natural gas futures prices collapsed this week in the wake of the broad based commodity sell off in crude oil. The DOE estimated that supplies are down 14% from a year ago and 2% below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

7/11/08 Natural gas futures prices sold off this week in spite of above average temperatures and a drawdown in underground supplies to 15% below a year ago and 3% below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

7/4/08 Natural gas futures prices are above $13 in spite of a build in underground natural gas supplies this week. Natural gas option premiums are high.

6/27/08 Natural gas futures are above $13 again because the DOE says that supplies are down 16% from a year ago and down 3% below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

6/20/08 Natural gas future prices rallied to new contract highs this week because of 90 degree days in the south and the DOE report that supplies are now down 16% from a year ago and down 3% from the 5 year average. Natural gas options premiums are high.

6/13/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to contract highs again this week based on draw downs in supplies and hot weather in the mid West. Natural gas futures prices are nearing $13. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

6/6/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to contract highs this week based on supplies being down 15% from a year ago and the strength of the other energy markets. The heat wave in the mid West is also helping prices. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

5/30/08 Natural gas futures prices fell this week following crude oil lower. The DOE report showed natural gas supplies are down 16% from a year ago and below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/23/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to another contract high this week to break the $12 price level. The DOE reports that underground supplies of natural gas are down 16% from a year ago and below the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

5/15/08 Natural gas futures prices sold off from contract highs. The DOE estimates that natural gas inventories are down 16% from a year ago and slightly above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/9/08 Natural gas futures rallied to their contract high this week as the DOE estimates that underground supplies are down 17% from a year ago. The cooling and hurricane season is coming soon. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

5/1/08 Natural gas futures prices sold off from their contract highs this week following crude oil down. The DOE says underground supplies are down 16% from last year and the hurricane and cooling season is right around the corner. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/25/08 Natural gas futures prices hit another contract high this week as its ascent nears the $11.50 price range. The DOE reported this week that underground supplies of natural gas are down 18% from a year ago and 2% below the 5 year average. The loose relationship between crude oil prices and natural gas prices alludes to near $15 natural gas futures prices this year. Natural gas option premiums are very high as usual.

4/18/08 Natural gas futures hit a contract high this week based on the underground supplies being down 19% from a year ago and huge overseas demand for liquified natural gas. Many countries like Japan are willing to pay a premium for natural gas and supplies generally go to the highest bidder. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/11/08 Natural gas futures traded above the $10.30 level again this week and then sold off. The DOE report showed that underground supplies of natural gas are down 22% from a year ago. The late cold snap throughout the midwest is also helping to boost natural gas futures prices. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/4/08 Natural gas futures are trading within a $1.50 range for the last month. The DOE report showed a decline in underground supplies to 20% lower than a year ago but slightly above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/28/08 Natural Gas futures rallied this week based on the DOE report showing that underground supplies are 16% lower than this time last year. The late cold front that came through the mid west last week is also helping to use up supplies. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/21/08 Natural Gas futures prices kept falling this week as Wall Street hedge funds and commodity funds liquidated futures positions to cover margin calls in stocks and to pay back borrowed money. The Bear Stearns issue took the confidence from investors. The Fed's 75 basis point cut surprised investors because a full 100 basis point cut was expected. Underground supplies of natural gas are 14% lower than this time last year. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/14/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied again this week through $10. The EIA report showed underground supplies of natural gas are 10% below a year ago. Based on the high prices for heating oil many utility companies are using natural gas to produce electricity. This may use up more supplies in the coming months if heating oil/diesel stays at these all time high levels. Natural gas option premiums are very high currently.

3/7/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied again this week based on the underground supplies being down by 10% from a year ago and cold weather throughout the Midwest US. Natural gas option premiums are extremely high currently.

2/29/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to a contract high based on the EIA report that underground supplies dropped down to 8% lower than last years levels. Recent cold weather is past and above normal temperatures are expected over the next week or so. Natural gas futures prices are up this year 26% so far. Natural gas options premiums are ridiculous right now.

2/22/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to the $9 based on the DOE's estimate that underground supplies are down 7% from a year ago and the cold snap in the Midwest also is using up supplies. Utility companies are using up natural gas supplies because it is relatively cheap compared to petroleum based fuels. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

2/15/08 Natural gas futures prices are trading higher again this week based on cold temperatures in the Midwest and Northeast portions of the US. The IEA supply and demand report showed supplies are down 9% from a year ago which pushed natural gas to an 8 month high in prices. Natural gas prices are still low compared to crude oil based products. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

2/8/08 Natural gas futures are trading near the $8 level this week. Cold weather caused draw downs in supplies and the current supplies of natural gas are down 13% from a year ago and 3% under the 5 year average for this time of year. The cooling and hurricane season are a few months away and natural gas supplies will have to make up some ground soon or natural gas futures prices may go up to $9 or more this summer. Natural gas options premiums are very high.

2/1/08 Natural gas futures prices broke out above $8 this week. Cold weather is starting to affect supplies. The current supplies are 9% below last year's price for this time period. Natural gas futures prices are finding support at these price levels. Natural gas futures prices has a heating demand to contend with but sustained cold temperatures will probably be needed to spur natural gas futures prices to new higher trading levels.

-T & K Futures and Options Inc.

 

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