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Natural Gas Futures-Natural Gas Options Weekly Blog

 

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5/15/08 Natural gas futures prices sold off from contract highs. The DOE estimates that natural gas inventories are down 16% from a year ago and slightly above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are high.

5/9/08 Natural gas futures rallied to their contract high this week as the DOE estimates that underground supplies are down 17% from a year ago. The cooling and hurricane season is coming soon. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

5/1/08 Natural gas futures prices sold off from their contract highs this week following crude oil down. The DOE says underground supplies are down 16% from last year and the hurricane and cooling season is right around the corner. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/25/08 Natural gas futures prices hit another contract high this week as its ascent nears the $11.50 price range. The DOE reported this week that underground supplies of natural gas are down 18% from a year ago and 2% below the 5 year average. The loose relationship between crude oil prices and natural gas prices alludes to near $15 natural gas futures prices this year. Natural gas option premiums are very high as usual.

4/18/08 Natural gas futures hit a contract high this week based on the underground supplies being down 19% from a year ago and huge overseas demand for liquified natural gas. Many countries like Japan are willing to pay a premium for natural gas and supplies generally go to the highest bidder. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/11/08 Natural gas futures traded above the $10.30 level again this week and then sold off. The DOE report showed that underground supplies of natural gas are down 22% from a year ago. The late cold snap throughout the midwest is also helping to boost natural gas futures prices. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

4/4/08 Natural gas futures are trading within a $1.50 range for the last month. The DOE report showed a decline in underground supplies to 20% lower than a year ago but slightly above the 5 year average. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/28/08 Natural Gas futures rallied this week based on the DOE report showing that underground supplies are 16% lower than this time last year. The late cold front that came through the mid west last week is also helping to use up supplies. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/21/08 Natural Gas futures prices kept falling this week as Wall Street hedge funds and commodity funds liquidated futures positions to cover margin calls in stocks and to pay back borrowed money. The Bear Stearns issue took the confidence from investors. The Fed's 75 basis point cut surprised investors because a full 100 basis point cut was expected. Underground supplies of natural gas are 14% lower than this time last year. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

3/14/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied again this week through $10. The EIA report showed underground supplies of natural gas are 10% below a year ago. Based on the high prices for heating oil many utility companies are using natural gas to produce electricity. This may use up more supplies in the coming months if heating oil/diesel stays at these all time high levels. Natural gas option premiums are very high currently.

3/7/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied again this week based on the underground supplies being down by 10% from a year ago and cold weather throughout the Midwest US. Natural gas option premiums are extremely high currently.

2/29/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to a contract high based on the EIA report that underground supplies dropped down to 8% lower than last years levels. Recent cold weather is past and above normal temperatures are expected over the next week or so. Natural gas futures prices are up this year 26% so far. Natural gas options premiums are ridiculous right now.

2/22/08 Natural gas futures prices rallied to the $9 based on the DOE's estimate that underground supplies are down 7% from a year ago and the cold snap in the Midwest also is using up supplies. Utility companies are using up natural gas supplies because it is relatively cheap compared to petroleum based fuels. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

2/15/08 Natural gas futures prices are trading higher again this week based on cold temperatures in the Midwest and Northeast portions of the US. The IEA supply and demand report showed supplies are down 9% from a year ago which pushed natural gas to an 8 month high in prices. Natural gas prices are still low compared to crude oil based products. Natural gas option premiums are very high.

2/8/08 Natural gas futures are trading near the $8 level this week. Cold weather caused draw downs in supplies and the current supplies of natural gas are down 13% from a year ago and 3% under the 5 year average for this time of year. The cooling and hurricane season are a few months away and natural gas supplies will have to make up some ground soon or natural gas futures prices may go up to $9 or more this summer. Natural gas options premiums are very high.

2/1/08 Natural gas futures prices broke out above $8 this week. Cold weather is starting to affect supplies. The current supplies are 9% below last year's price for this time period. Natural gas futures prices are finding support at these price levels. Natural gas futures prices has a heating demand to contend with but sustained cold temperatures will probably be needed to spur natural gas futures prices to new higher trading levels.

-T & K Futures and Options Inc.

 

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